Primary Fields: Development Economics, Environmental Economics
Secondary Field: Labor Economics
"The Social Tax: Redistributive Pressure and Labor Supply" (Eliana Carranza, Aletheia Donald, Florian Grosset-Touba, and Supreet Kaur), Econometrica, 2025. 93(6): 2273-2308.
[PDF] [Slides] [Coverage: Econimate, WB Development Impact, WB Policy Brief]
In low-income communities in both rich and poor countries, redistributive transfers within kin and social networks are frequent. Such arrangements may distort labor supply—acting as a “social tax” that dampens the incentive to work. We document that across countries, from the United States to Côte d’Ivoire, low-income groups report strong pressure to share earned income with others; in addition, social groups that undertake more interpersonal transfers work fewer hours. Using a field experiment, we enable piece-rate factory workers in Côte d’Ivoire to shield income using blocked savings accounts over 9 months. Workers may only deposit earnings increases, relative to baseline, mitigating income effects on labor supply. Offering Private accounts raises work attendance by 6.5% and earnings by 9.4%. These treatment effects are concentrated among workers who report higher redistributive pressure at baseline. To obtain further suggestive evidence on mechanisms, in a supplementary experiment, we vary whether blocked accounts are private or known to the worker’s network. When accounts are private, take-up is substantively higher (60% vs. 14%), with a resultant 8.8% higher earnings. Outgoing transfers do not decline, indicating no loss in redistribution. The welfare benefits of informal redistribution may come at a cost, depressing labor supply and productivity.
(NEW VERSION) "Rain Follows the Forest: Land Use Policy, Climate Change, and Adaptation" (with Anna Papp and Charles A. Taylor), Revise and Resubmit, Review of Economic Studies
[Slides] [NBER Working Paper 35695, CEPR Discussion Paper 21914, SSRN Working Paper 4333147] [Coverage: CEPR VoxTalks podcast, World Resources Institute Insights]
Human actions can alter the climate via land use. We analyze the 1930s Great Plains Shelterbelt, a large-scale forestation program across the US Midwest. The program increased precipitation and decreased temperatures for decades. We measure these changes in downwind counties where no trees were planted, isolating the effects of climate from those of afforestation and enabling us to study adaptation. Improved growing conditions allowed farmers to expand corn acreage and adopt water-intensive practices. In a period of farm consolidation, this altered the structure of the agricultural sector, contributing to the survival of small farms but less farm machine usage. The findings demonstrate the endogeneity of climate to land use change and the long-term impacts of tree planting on agricultural development.
"Complementarities in Labor Supply: How Joint Commuting Shapes Work Decisions" (with Aletheia Donald)
[Coverage: World Bank Development Impact, G²LM|LIC Policy Brief]
Commuting is notoriously challenging in lower-income country cities, limiting firms’ ability to attract workers from different neighborhoods and reducing the economic benefits of urban agglomeration. This paper examines whether decreasing the non-financial cost of commuting—by commuting with peers rather than alone—reduces this friction and increases labor supply. We conduct two field experiments in urban Côte d’Ivoire. In the first experiment, job seekers are 16pp more likely to accept a formal full-time factory job if their peers also receive a job offer, and 15pp more likely to remain in that job four months later—but only if they will be employed in the same shift (rather than different shifts). These effects are driven by workers with long commute times, who can commute to work together. Consistent with this channel, workers’ own attendance and turnover are predicted by the attendance and quits of co-commuting peers. In a second field experiment with a different firm, we again randomize whether a worker’s peers are offered a job and whether they could commute together. We also randomize job location—inducing exogenous variation in commute time. We replicate the finding of complementarities in labor supply, but only in the case of long assigned commute times. These findings indicate that commuting together serves as an important job amenity with large impacts on labor supply. Our results provide a novel explanation for key features of urban labor markets, including firms’ widespread use of referrals for hiring and persistent gaps in employment across social groups.
"Designing Experiments on Networks: Evidence from Tax Enforcement" (with Michael Best, Gaston Pierri, and Panos Toulis)
Network data are increasingly available, making experiments on networks possible. Yet, commonly used designs are ill-suited to networks that cannot be split into separate clusters, such as trade between firms. We propose the Split-Graph design, which delivers valid and powerful tests of both direct and spillover effects. We implement the design in a series of field experiments with Paraguay's tax authority, which notifies firms whose VAT returns are inconsistent with third-party reports. Notified firms are 55% more likely to amend their returns and report 900% higher sales, raising both tax liabilities and remittances. Enforcement also spills over to trading partners. A firm reports higher taxes when its weakest suppliers are notified, but not when its strongest suppliers or clients are. These direct and spillover effects have implications for the optimal targeting of tax audits.
"Stepping into a Larger World: Industrial Park Jobs, Network Formation, and the Domestic Economy" (with David Qihang Wu)
Scheduled:
Yale University, development seminar;
Brown University, brown bag seminar;
University of Geneva seminar;
Mines-Paris seminar;
Paris 1 seminar.
2026. GATE Development Economics workshop; "Gender Norms and Labor Market Transformations" workshop (discussant); ENSEA Abidjan research seminar; Paris "Land Use Policies for Climate Change" workshop; Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK) seminar; Development Economics Network Berlin (DENeB) seminar, DC Urbanization and Development Conference; SusDeveR Biennal Symposium; Bristol Applied Economics Meeting (BAEM) on Development Economics; TUM Workshop in Field Experiments.
2025 Athens "VAT fraud detection" conference; INSEE-CREST joint workshop; Paris Junior Development workshop; Joint IMF-World Bank climate seminar; Paris-Saclay Applied Economics seminar; Development Economics Workshop at the BSE Summer Forum; LSE/Imperial Workshop in Environmental Economics; CSEF Workshop on Networks and Development; Hebrew University seminar (virtual); Urban Economics Association (European Meeting); Tufts University brown bag seminar; Joint Harvard/MIT Development Economics seminar; Joint University of Oslo/Frisch Center seminar; PSE Natural Capital workshop.
2024 CEPR Labor Economics Paris Symposium; CEPR Climate Change Paris Symposium; Cities & Development workshop at Harvard University; Paris Dauphine University (TrEnCE seminar); CEPR Development Economics Annual Symposium, joint with BREAD, STICERD, TIME and TCD; Paris School of Economics (Development seminar); IFC Paris Workshop on Firms in Developing Countries; Advances in Field Experiments conference; IZA G²LM|LIC Workshop; Development Rookiefest at Northwestern University; CSAE Conference on Economic Development in Africa; World Bank DECRG, World Bank DIME, Bristol University, CY Cergy University, ESSEC, LMU Munich, ifo Institute, CREST, IE University, Stockholm University.
2023 Virtual Sustainable Development Seminar; Advances in Field Experiments conference; NBER Summer Institute in Environmental and Energy Economics (NBER SI EEE); Barcelona Summer Forum, "Firms in a Changing Background" workshop; "Economics of Firms and Labor" workshop; "Firms, Labour Markets and Development" workshop; SOLE Annual Conference; Interdisciplinary PhD. Workshop in Sustainable Development; UK Network for Environmental Economists envecon Conference; World Bank GIL seminar; ASSA/AEA Conference.
2022 IZA G²LM|LIC Research Meeting; STEG Annual Conference; CEPR WEFIDEV Workshop in Finance and Development; WEAI Annual Conference.
2021 ASSA/AEA Conference; IPA Annual Researcher Gathering; AERE@SEA Conference.
2020 Columbia University, Workshop on Disentangling the Drivers of Migration in West Africa; Paris School of Economics, Casual Friday Development Seminar; 2nd IUSSP Population, Poverty and Inequality Research Conference; PEDL Young Scholars Matchmaking Workshop.
2019 4th Zurich Conference on Public Finance in Developing Countries; TanyVao Interdisciplinary Summer School in Social Sciences, Gender and Labor Workshop, Cote d'Ivoire.
French National Research Agency, Young Researcher Grant (ANR JCJC) (2026)
J-PAL Gender and Economic Agency Initiative, Pilot Grant (2025)
Structural Transformation and Economic Growth (STEG), Small Research Grant (2025)
The International Growth Center (IGC), Small Research Grant (2025)
Columbia Center for Development Economics and Policy, Student Research Grant (2023)
J-PAL, Jobs and Opportunity Initiative PhD Pilot Grant (2022)
PEDL, Matchmaking Seed Grant (2021)
J-PAL, Jobs and Opportunity Initiative PhD Proposal Development Grant (2021)
IZA/DFID Growth, Gender and Labour Markets in Low Income Countries (G²LM|LIC) Research Grant (2020)
Alliance Program, Doctoral Mobility Grant (2019)
J-PAL Graduate Transparency Fellowship (2019)
Columbia Center for Development Economics and Policy, Student Research Grant (2018)
Columbia University, Dean's Fellowship (2017-2022)
American Foundation for the Paris School of Economics, Fellowship (2017)
Last updated: September 2026